Loading the Proof Foundry evidence log…
SYNTHETIC · SHADOW · NOT_CAPITAL_READY — research evidence only. SigmaX proposes; humans authorize. No capital authority, no allocation recommendation.
The Proof Foundry is where SigmaX holds every capital-linked claim to an admissible-proof standard before it can influence a decision. It surfaces the best evidence for a claim and the best evidence against it, names what is still missing, and never turns a strong-but-unproven result into a green light.
AI can analyze and propose. Deterministic checks validate. Humans authorize. SigmaX does not move capital. Everything on this page is research evidence on synthetic data in shadow mode — it demonstrates the standard; it is not an allocation recommendation, and nothing here is capital-ready.
This is the Evidence Spine made concrete. Two of the four questions are adversarial by design — SigmaX tries to break a claim before it earns the right to influence a decision. The same discipline governs a research edge and a live capital decision.
The strongest supporting evidence a claim has earned — always tagged with its evidence class and its limitation. Support on its own is never trust.
The most damaging admissible finding — overfit, fragility to costs, or regime dependence — surfaced first, not buried. SigmaX looks for reasons a claim should not move.
What is still missing before a claim could ever be trusted — most often a clean out-of-sample test on real data. Synthetic evidence can never close this gap.
The single test that would move the claim furthest toward — or away from — proof, pre-registered with explicit success and failure criteria before it runs.
The Foundry is built to keep unproven claims from ever looking finished. The same posture protects every capital decision downstream: the evidence, the counter-evidence, and the limits travel with the claim.
A strong in-sample number is recorded as “supports an early pattern — not out-of-sample proof.” It is never a win and never a recommendation.
Green requires a passed out-of-sample test on real data. Every run here is synthetic and shadow-mode, so none has cleared — or can clear — that gate.
Sample and synthetic records are labeled as such and never promoted into live evidence. Any capital decision remains a separate, human-authorized, operator-governed step.
Each entry is one research-evidence run with its verdict, evidence maturity, and data mode. These are synthetic strategy-research runs in shadow mode — they demonstrate how the standard is applied. None is capital-ready, and none is an allocation recommendation. Open a run for its objective, the evidence for and against, the gaps, and the decision record.
The Proof Foundry is a research-evidence surface. All results shown are generated on synthetic data in shadow mode and are NOT capital-ready. Nothing here is an allocation recommendation, a performance claim, or a representation of trading results. A strong in-sample number supports an early pattern only — it is not out-of-sample proof. SigmaX holds no capital authority; promotion to any real-data test, and any capital decision, remains a separate, human-authorized, operator-governed process.